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Nvidia, Broadcom split of $5,000 seen tripling by 2028

Nvidia, Broadcom split of $5,000 seen tripling by 2028

The author predicted a $5,000 investment split between Nvidia and Broadcom will triple by 2028, citing Broadcom CEO Hock Tan's guidance for AI semiconductor revenue of $115 billion next year, rising to $230 billion in 2028.

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Context & Analysis

The prediction rests on contrasting technical approaches. Nvidia designs general-purpose GPUs, which are flexible and handle many AI workloads. Broadcom partners with hyperscalers and AI labs to design custom AI chips, called application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs), tailored to specific workloads. The author argues the future of AI computing will combine both types, making both companies strong investments. Broadcom's long-term guidance includes $115 billion in AI semiconductor revenue next year and $230 billion in 2028, and the company says it has secured the supply chain to deliver these chips. For Nvidia, the author notes management's tendency to offer conservative guidance and then overdeliver. The calculations apply profit margins and valuation multiples that have been common for these companies in recent history, but the author acknowledges the estimates depend on the growth rates the companies themselves project.

FAQ
What growth is Broadcom expecting for its AI chips?
Broadcom CEO Hock Tan expects AI semiconductor revenue to reach $115 billion next year, up from $16.7 billion in Q3, and to double again to $230 billion in 2028.
What does Nvidia expect for its revenue?
Nvidia management expects 70% revenue growth in its next fiscal year, but has not given guidance for 2028. The author assumes a similar figure.
How did the author calculate the potential market caps?
For Broadcom, the author combined expected 2027 revenue of $295 billion with a 50% profit margin and a 35 times trailing earnings multiple. For Nvidia, the author used revenue of $1.2 trillion, a 55% profit margin, and a 35 times earnings multiple.
Yahoo Finance AIRead Original Article

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