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Nvidia, Dell plunge as AI selloff deepens on midterm worries

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Nvidia, Dell plunge as AI selloff deepens on midterm worries

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    Nvidia fell about 6% to $188.75, Dell dropped about 9% to erase roughly $20 billion in market value, and Arm lost about 10%, another roughly $20 billion.

  2. Why it matters

    The selloff spread to the broad market, with the S&P 500 down about 1.5%, a sign investors are punishing companies most exposed to new construction the hardest.

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Context & Analysis

The selloff intensified Thursday after Democrats swept the midterm elections, with investors now pricing in the possibility of new restrictions on data-center construction. In Texas, one of the biggest data-center markets, the new governor-elect campaigned on pausing new construction, and UBS analysts estimate that if pauses spread, nearly a third of the new U.S. data-center capacity expected in 2028 could be delayed or lost. The fear is not confined to builders: optical-networking companies like Ciena fell about 11%, wiping out about $4.3 billion in value, and even Viavi Solutions crashed 18% despite reporting quarterly revenue up 57% to $469.3 million and approving a $500 million buyback. That divergence suggests the market is trading on political fear rather than individual business performance, punishing the companies most exposed to new construction the hardest while Nvidia's 6% drop looks modest by comparison. Some see value already: VanEck argues Bitcoin miners are oversold because their access to the power grid is scarce and commands a premium for AI customers. But with Congress not changing hands until January and any state-level pause still needing to be written and passed, the political risk remains unsettled, leaving long-term investors to weigh buying slowly in pieces against the volatility of these AI stocks.

FAQ
Why are data-center stocks falling after the midterms?
Democrats swept the midterm elections, and investors are bracing for more oversight of data centers. In Texas, the new governor-elect campaigned on pausing new data-center construction.
How much could data-center construction delays cost?
UBS analysts estimate that if construction pauses spread, nearly a third of the new U.S. data-center capacity expected to come online in 2028 could be delayed or lost.
Is it time to buy the dip?
For most investors, not all at once. The political risk is real but unsettled, and the smarter move is to buy slowly, in pieces, and favor companies with strong balance sheets and real customer contracts.
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