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AI Regulation & PolicyAI Business & IndustrySemafor TechPublished: Sep 15, 2026, 19:01 JST

OpenAI's 'reverse federalism': AI lobby targets states

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OpenAI's 'reverse federalism': AI lobby targets states

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    OpenAI and Anthropic are encouraging certain congressional efforts, endorsing some state lawmaking, and offering coordinated self-regulation, with OpenAI strategist Chris Lehane calling the state-first strategy 'reverse federalism.'

  2. Why it matters

    The industry concluded from the social media backlash that shaping rules is better than claiming to be harmless, so it is embedding itself in policy rather than fighting it outright.

  3. What to watch

    This hinges on whether state-by-state rules stay similar enough to live with, since going through Congress is seen as a slower path. Watch how far OpenAI and Anthropic's self-regulation offers go.

WHO IT HITSState legislators and their staffs now face coordinated AI lobbying in their own capitals, while federal lawmakers see the industry endorse only selected bills. Companies in other regulated sectors may study this playbook.

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Context & Analysis

The article traces the current lobbying push back to the mid-2010s backlash against social media, which left Americans jaded and produced little government regulation. AI companies are applying that lesson: rather than claim they are harmless, they are trying to shape the rules themselves. OpenAI and Anthropic hired former high-ranking officials from both parties and veterans of the first Capitol Hill hearings with tech executives, giving them a defense they have maintained since opening their Washington offices.

The strategy has several parts. The companies encourage certain congressional efforts, endorse some state lawmaking, and offer coordinated self-regulation in the meantime. They have also concluded they can live with a patchwork of similar state regulations, which the article describes as often a safer bet than banking on Washington for national standards. Spreading lobbying across statehouses is presented as an easier lift than getting Congress to act.

What this hinges on is whether state-level rules remain similar enough for the industry to accept, and whether those self-regulation offers satisfy lawmakers. For state legislators, the effect is direct: they are now the main target of AI lobbying. The open question is whether this state-first approach eventually produces national standards or leaves a fragmented landscape.

FAQ
What is 'reverse federalism' in AI lobbying?
It is OpenAI political strategist Chris Lehane's term for AI companies pushing regulation at the state level instead of waiting for national standards from Washington. The approach treats a series of similar state laws as a safer bet than Congress.
Why are AI companies cooperating with regulators now?
They learned from the social media backlash that shaping regulation to their liking works better than trying to convince everyone they are harmless. Since ChatGPT launched nearly four years ago, even AI enthusiasts have stressed balancing the technology's promise and peril.
How are OpenAI and Anthropic involved in Washington?
Both set up offices in DC and hired former high-ranking Democratic and Republican officials, people who worked on Capitol Hill during the first tech executive hearings, and partisan strategists. They have since encouraged certain congressional efforts and endorsed some state lawmaking.
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