Polymarket odds surge to 99% that Anthropic will exceed $1 trillion valuation by year-end, coinciding with reports of a $30 billion funding round.

Polymarket, a Polygon-based prediction market, raised odds to 99% that Anthropic will reach a $1 trillion pre-IPO valuation by year-end 2026, up from 50% a week prior. The probability of the company surpassing $1.1 trillion stands at 95%, and odds of topping $1.5 trillion have reached 78%.

Over $830,000 has been wagered on the bet, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if Anthropic's private valuation—as measured by NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market—meets the threshold. Polymarket currently estimates Anthropic's private valuation at over $975 billion.

Reports indicate Anthropic is set to raise over $30 billion in a new funding round that will value the company above $900 billion, more than double its $380 billion valuation in February. This would position Anthropic ahead of OpenAI as the most valuable AI startup and above Micron Technology, Advanced Micro Devices, and SK Hynix at their present market valuations.