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Large Language ModelsAI Safety & AlignmentMITテクノロジーレビューPublished: Oct 6, 2026, 06:01 JST

AlphaGo's Move 37 was search, not intuition, says Thore Graepel

AlphaGo's Move 37 was search, not intuition, says Thore Graepel

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    In a piece published 2026.10.06, Thore Graepel said AlphaGo's Move 37 — which stunned commentators in Seoul in March 2016 and helped beat Lee Sedol 4-1 — came from its search mechanism, not intuition.

  2. Why it matters

    Graepel's point is that the machine's creativity did not come from a flash of instinct; it came from evaluating how proposed moves would unfold over future sequences, which is what made the move possible.

  3. What to watch

    The test is whether AI systems can show how they reached a conclusion — a capability Graepel says is needed in high-risk areas like medicine and science, and one he suggests may now be within reach.

WHO IT HITSResearchers and developers building AI for medicine and science are the ones who would need to demonstrate how a system reached its conclusion, since Graepel argues that verifiable reasoning — not just prediction — is what makes results trustworthy in those fields.

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Context & Analysis

The popular telling of AlphaGo's 2016 match against Lee Sedol often reduces Move 37 to a moment of pure machine intuition — a flash of insight so strange that some commentators initially suspected a bug. Graepel, who worked on the program, draws a different line: AlphaGo combined a policy network trained to guess human-like moves with a search mechanism that built a game tree of thousands of branches, letting it compare how proposed moves would play out. That pairing mirrors the distinction Daniel Kahneman popularized between fast, intuitive "System 1" thinking and slow, deliberative "System 2" thinking — with the search providing the deliberation.

The contrast Graepel draws is with today's LLMs, which keep predicting the next token rather than exploring alternatives. That difference matters most where the stakes are high. In medicine and science, he argues, it is not enough for a system to land on an answer; it must be possible to check how it got there. Whether that kind of verifiable reasoning can be built at scale is likely the central question for applying AI in those domains, and Graepel suggests recent progress may be making it more feasible.

FAQ
What did Lee Sedol say after seeing Move 37?
Lee Sedol said he had thought AlphaGo was just a machine based on probability calculations, but that the move changed his mind, and that AlphaGo definitely has creativity.
How did AlphaGo decide on Move 37 if its intuition did not favor it?
Its policy network rated the move as unlikely for a strong human — about a 1 in 10,000 chance — but its search mechanism built a game tree with thousands of branches and compared the future outcomes of the proposed move.
Why does Graepel say true reasoning is needed in medicine and science?
He argues that in high-risk fields, it must be possible to verify how AI reached its conclusion if systems are to produce reliable results or genuinely new findings.
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