AIToday
AI Business & IndustrySemafor TechPublished: Sep 29, 2026, 22:01 JST

McKinsey: 11 million US workers may need job changes

McKinsey: 11 million US workers may need job changes

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    A new McKinsey report predicted that around 11 million US workers, about 7% of the country's workforce, may need to change jobs within the next decade because of AI displacement, and that the vast majority will need substantial retraining.

  2. Why it matters

    The predicted scale of job changes and retraining suggests that many US workers could face a major disruption to their careers, and the vast majority may need substantial retraining to move into new roles.

  3. What to watch

    The report's prediction covers a decade, so the outcome hinges on how quickly AI displacement actually unfolds. Watch for follow-up research or policy responses on retraining.

WHO IT HITSUS workers in roles most exposed to AI displacement, as well as employers and training providers who may need to help the vast majority of those affected retrain for new jobs.

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Context & Analysis

The McKinsey report lands amid a broader souring of public opinion on AI. Voters globally have turned against the technology over concerns about its impact on employment, the electricity demands of data centers, and repeated warnings that it poses a threat to humanity. Those fears have pushed AI into politics: The Washington Post found policies on AI or data centers in 40% of US midterm campaigns, while Le Monde found AI sovereignty is one of the few consensus issues among French presidential candidates. In the US Senate, however, AI safety talks have stalled, Semafor reported. The McKinsey prediction, if borne out, would put the employment concerns that have already reshaped political debate into concrete terms for millions of workers. Whether that scale of displacement materializes, and how quickly, will likely determine how urgently policymakers and employers respond on retraining.

FAQ
How many US workers could be affected?
Around 11 million US workers, about 7% of the country's workforce, according to the McKinsey report. The vast majority will need substantial retraining.
What timeframe does the report cover?
The report predicts these job changes may occur within the next decade because of AI displacement.

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