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AI Regulation & PolicyAI Business & IndustryJapan Times TechPublished: Oct 12, 2026, 19:01 JST

IMF's Georgieva warns AI is a 'slow-moving tsunami' for jobs and taxes

IMF's Georgieva warns AI is a 'slow-moving tsunami' for jobs and taxes

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    At the IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said AI is already hollowing out demand for routine work and driving up low-paying jobs in sectors like construction.

  2. Why it matters

    She said the shift toward capital and away from labor risks straining government tax revenues, and urged policymakers to rethink education and act now to help society adapt.

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Context & Analysis

Georgieva's remarks came during her first appearance at the annual meetings of the IMF and World Bank in Bangkok, where she spoke at a session on AI's impact on employment. She framed the shift as one with far-reaching consequences for public finances, pointing to the risk that AI tilts the economy toward capital and away from labor.

She also noted that young workers in AI-exposed fields have already seen a slowdown in hiring, leaving new entry-level applicants far more vulnerable, and that concern is growing the technology will widen inequality, with gains so far concentrated among a narrow set of workers and economies despite a global investment super-cycle.

She acknowledged that the world of work five years from now cannot be imagined today, but said policymakers can be disciplined, carefully assess what is happening, draw lessons and, most importantly, act on them now. Against the employment headwinds, she said the technology can ultimately prove a positive for growth overall, citing the IMF's estimate that its spread can add up to a percentage point to growth in advanced Asian economies.

FAQ
What does the IMF chief say AI is doing to jobs right now?
Kristalina Georgieva said the technology is already hollowing out demand for many human workers by taking over routine, repetitive tasks, while increasing low-paying jobs in sectors like construction.
Why does AI threaten government tax revenues?
Georgieva said the risk is that AI strains government revenues by tilting the economy toward capital and away from labor, traditionally the main source of tax income.
Does the IMF see any upside from AI for growth?
Yes. The IMF estimates the spread of AI can add up to a percentage point to growth in advanced Asian economies, which Georgieva said will "more than offset" the drag from aging in rich countries across the region.
Japan Times TechRead Original Article

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