
What happened
The Financial Times reported OpenAI told prospective investors its annualized revenue is approaching $50 billion, not the $68 billion widely reported two months ago. The Nasdaq fell 1.25%, its worst day since mid-August.
Why it matters
Investors had been questioning whether AI demand justifies sky-high valuations. A shortfall in OpenAI's revenue could affect its ability to meet contractual obligations, potentially sending shockwaves through the industry.
WHO IT HITSInvestors in AI-related stocks and companies with significant contracts involving OpenAI, such as Oracle, face heightened uncertainty about whether current valuations are justified. Tech firms planning IPOs may also see scrutiny increase as revenue figures are reassessed.
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The report marks a sharp reversal from two months ago, when media widely reported OpenAI was on track for $68 billion in annualized revenue. The discrepancy stems from how revenue is counted: the earlier figure included gross revenue from OpenAI's partners to allow a direct comparison with Anthropic, while the newer $50 billion figure is based on net revenue. OpenAI also told investors its annual revenue run rate grew 77% in the third quarter, with enterprise business run rate up 107%. The company is under pressure to justify its $852 billion valuation ahead of a planned IPO, which CEO Sam Altman confirmed last month has been delayed to 2027 amid debate over AI safety. Meanwhile, Anthropic is reportedly eyeing a 2026 IPO with a $2 trillion target valuation, though New Constructs valued it at just $150 billion. Anthropic generated $4.6 billion in revenue in 2025 with losses exceeding $42 billion, according to a leaked prospectus seen by Reuters. The market reaction was broad, with Oracle falling 5.5%, Intel 5.3%, Nvidia 2.9%, CoreWeave 8%, AMD and Broadcom 4%, and Super Micro almost 5%.
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