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Sign up free →SMCI's share price fell 5.48% over the last day but rose 69.84% over 30 days, and has delivered a very large 5-year total shareholder return.
The most widely followed valuation narrative from Clive_Thompson sets a fair value of $24.50, well below the last close of $47.42, marking SMCI as overvalued by 93.6% according to that view; the stock trades at 22.9x earnings compared with 25.5x for the global Tech sector and 59.6x for peers.
Key risks to the valuation include potential widening of legal investigation to SMCI itself or a sharp reduction in AI infrastructure orders from the largest customer.
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