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Ramp AI Index: AI use up 50%, spend down

Ramp AI Index: AI use up 50%, spend down

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    Ramp economist Ara Kharazian says US firms are spending less on AI even as usage rose about 50 percent from July's peak to a record end-September high, with Anthropic at 51 percent of token spending and OpenAI at 44.5 percent.

  2. Why it matters

    The decline appears to come almost entirely from OpenAI–Anthropic competition and cheaper standard and lite models, so businesses may be getting more AI for less money, according to Kharazian.

  3. What to watch

    The Index covers only API spending from over 70,000 US companies and skews toward large AI customers, so the trend hinges on whether this unusually long decline continues; open-source models remain under five percent of business spending.

WHO IT HITSProcurement and finance teams at US companies buying AI through APIs are the ones seeing cheaper bills even as usage grows, according to the Index. Teams watching AI vendors may need to factor in that the spending shift is concentrated among large AI customers and API-only data.

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Context & Analysis

The Ramp AI Index's latest reading, from Ramp economist Ara Kharazian, puts two trends side by side: companies are using more AI, but paying less for it. Usage climbed about 50 percent since spending peaked in July and reached a record high at the end of September, even as the spending line fell. Kharazian attributes the drop almost entirely to competition between OpenAI and Anthropic, along with price cuts on top models and cheaper, more efficient standard and lite models.

Within that spending mix, the split is narrow. In the last week of September covered by the data, Anthropic took 51 percent of token spending and OpenAI took 44.5 percent. Open-source models, by contrast, still account for less than five percent of business spending. The Index draws on transaction data from more than 70,000 US companies, though its token data comes from a subsample, and Kharazian notes the analysis covers only API spending and skews toward large AI customers.

This is not the first decline in the index, but it has lasted unusually long. What happens next likely hinges on whether the price competition between OpenAI and Anthropic continues, and on how much of the broader business market the API-focused, large-customer-skewed data actually reflects. For the large API buyers the index captures, the practical effect so far has been more usage for less outlay.

FAQ
What does the Ramp AI Index measure?
It tracks transaction data from more than 70,000 US companies, with token data from a subsample. According to Ara Kharazian, the analysis only covers API spending and skews toward large AI customers.
Why is AI spending falling even as usage grows?
Ara Kharazian points to price cuts on top models and to cheaper, more efficient standard and lite models. He says the drop comes almost entirely from competition between OpenAI and Anthropic.
How much do open-source models account for in business spending?
Open-source models still make up less than five percent of business spending, according to Kharazian.

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