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Anthropic's David Soria Parra: 2026 is agentic AI's first production year

Anthropic's David Soria Parra: 2026 is agentic AI's first production year

3 Key Points

  1. What happened

    At AGNTCon+MCPCon Japan 2026 in Tokyo on September 10, Anthropic's David Soria Parra said 2026 will be the first year agentic AI systems see real production use, spreading from coding into general knowledge work, scientific discovery and math.

  2. Why it matters

    MCP tool calls on Claude have passed roughly 1 billion cumulatively, and MCP SDK downloads now top 500 million a month, with use rising across the industry from Anthropic to rival OpenAI.

  3. What to watch

    MCP's next steps hinge on agentic messaging, richer semantics and authorization and identity for agents. Parra's stated focus covers the next 12 months.

WHO IT HITSIT and platform teams at companies that run internal systems such as Microsoft 365, Google Workspace and task-management tools are the ones who will have to connect those systems to AI agents, since MCP's growth is now concentrated on that connectivity layer.

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Context & Analysis

MCP was created in 2024, when tool calling from an AI model was still a very new concept, Parra said. At the time, models could not handle long tasks and tool calling was not sufficient for production use. He described 2025 as the year of coding agents, and explained that coding agents were the first practical agents in production because automated systems such as unit tests and compilers could steer and correct a model's behavior. Now that models can handle longer tasks on their own, Parra expects the applications to widen beyond coding.

He drew a line between software developer tools and tools for general knowledge workers. For knowledge workers, the key is connectivity: financial advisors and accountants, for example, need to work across systems such as Microsoft 365, Google Workspace, internal business systems and task management tools. Parra said this is why MCP and similar standards are spreading, and he pointed to the volume of tool calls on Claude and monthly MCP SDK downloads as evidence that the whole industry now depends on what was a small project two years ago.

The change Parra highlighted as the largest in the past 18 months is making MCP fully stateless, an effort he said involved leaders from Microsoft, Google, Anthropic and OpenAI working together. Looking ahead, the outcome appears to hinge on the next 12 months of work: whether agentic messaging, richer semantics and authorization and identity mature enough to support his expectation that agentic systems become a standard means of knowledge work within one to three years. He closed by inviting developers to build and share MCP servers, bring Japan's market issues to conferences, and join open-source communities to shape the standards.

FAQ
How big has MCP usage become?
On Claude, MCP-based tool calls have passed roughly 1 billion cumulatively. MCP SDK downloads now exceed 500 million per month.
What has Anthropic changed in MCP recently?
MCP added remote connection, then authorization last year and MCP Apps. This year it was made fully stateless, described as the most important change in the past 18 months.
What are Anthropic's priorities for MCP over the next year?
Parra named agentic messaging, richer semantics in MCP servers including Skills over MCP, and authorization and identity for AI agents.

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