
A new study shows LLMs often know facts but fail to recall them.
Frontiers like GPT-5 and Gemini-3 encode 95-98% of tested facts.
Thinking longer can recover up to 65% of hidden facts.
What happened
A study by Google Research and Technion found that frontier models like GPT-5 and Gemini-3 encode 95-98% of tested facts but fail to surface them during generation. By thinking longer at inference time, these models can recover up to 65% of facts they couldn't directly recall.
Why it matters
Engineering teams often assume hallucinations mean missing knowledge, leading them to increase model size or expand training data. This research suggests that recall, not encoding, is often the primary bottleneck, so more reliable applications may be built without larger models or external databases.
What to watch
The study points to inference-time computation as a way to unlock existing knowledge. Future model improvements could focus on better recall strategies rather than just scaling up.
Ask the AI about this article →
The study from Google Research and Technion challenges the common assumption that hallucinations stem from missing knowledge. Instead, it finds that models often have the facts encoded parametrically but fail to retrieve them during generation. This suggests that recall, not encoding, is a primary bottleneck for factual accuracy. By demonstrating that inference-time computation—thinking longer—can recover up to 65% of hidden facts, the research implies that engineering teams might improve reliability without necessarily resorting to larger models or external databases. This could shift focus toward optimizing inference processes rather than just scaling up.
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